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Selling in Paloma Lake when 9 of the 18 listings ask under their first price

If you are selling in Paloma Lake in Round Rock, you are pricing against 18 active listings, and 9 of them are asking less than they first asked. Behind those 18 sit 52 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 at a median sale price of $504,625 and a median cumulative days on the market to contract of 33.0.

Paloma Lake is a resale market with two generations of houses inside one fence. All 52 of those closings were resale and 0 were new build, none of the 18 homes for sale here is a builder listing, and the 52 break down to 27 built between 2000 and 2014 against 25 built between 2015 and 2024. The house that decides your price is on a street you can walk to, and 9 of the 18 sellers on the board have already moved off their original asking price.

Quick answer

Paloma Lake closed 52 homes in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 at a median sale price of $504,625, a median 33.0 days to contract and 96.2% of the original asking price, on a median living area of 2,830 square feet and $187 per square foot. There are 18 active listings at a median asking price of $512,500, 9 of them asking less than their original asking price, and 4.2 months of inventory on the twelve-month basis, which carries a seller’s market label for the subdivision overall; that label is for Paloma Lake as a whole, and a price point changes which market a home is in, so your band tells you more than the label does. None of the 18 active listings is a builder listing, and all 52 closings were resale.

What we analyzed

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What is my Paloma Lake home worth right now?

The middle of the Paloma Lake market was $504,625 across 52 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, at $187 per square foot on a median living area of 2,830 square feet. In the 90 days ending September 20, 2026 the median was $493,000 across 17 closings, at $190 per square foot on a median living area of 2,741 square feet.

Those two medians describe two different groups of houses. The median year built among the 52 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 is 2014, and among the 17 closings in the 90 days ending September 20, 2026 it is 2015, so the recent group leans on the newer side of the neighborhood. Read either as the middle of what sold, not as an answer for your own address.

Measured against the year before, the price and the house moved in opposite directions. Paloma Lake’s median sale price was $525,000 in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025 and $504,625 in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, while the median living area behind those two prices was 2,727 square feet in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025 and 2,830 square feet in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026. Price per square foot was $198 in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025 and $187 in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, and Paloma Lake closed 47 homes in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025 and 52 in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026.

Table 1. Paloma Lake on three periods, closings through September 20, 2026. Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 23, 2026.
MeasureTwelve months ending 2026-09-20Prior twelve months, 2024-09-21 to 2025-09-2090 days ending 2026-09-20
Closings524717
Median sale price$504,625$525,000$493,000
Median days to contract33.035.046.0
Percentage of original asking price96.2%96.1%95.0%
Median living area2,830 sq ft2,727 sq ft2,741 sq ft
Price per square foot$187$198$190
Median year built201420142015

Table 1 is the scoreboard in one place, and the square footage line is the one to carry into your pricing. A larger median house sold for a lower median price, at $187 per square foot in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 against $198 per square foot in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025. A Paloma Lake seller pricing by last year’s per foot figure is asking a buyer to pay a rate the closings did not reach.

Am I competing against builders in Paloma Lake?

No builder is selling against you inside Paloma Lake. None of the 18 active listings is a builder listing, and of the 52 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, 0 were new build and 52 were resale.

The build years say the same thing from the other side, and something else as well. Of those 52 closings, 27 were built between 2000 and 2014 and 25 were built between 2015 and 2024, with 0 built before 2000 and 0 built in 2025 or later. Paloma Lake is close to an even split between its earlier stock and its later sections, which is unusual for a single subdivision.

Paloma Lake sold two build eras in near equal numbers Build era of the 52 Paloma Lake closings, twelve months ending September 20, 2026 Before 2000 No Paloma Lake closing in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 was built before 2000. 2000 to 2014 27 of the 52 closings, from Paloma Lake's earlier sections. 2015 to 2024 25 of the 52 closings, from the sections finished later. 2025 or later No closing was built in 2025 or later, and no active listing is a builder listing. Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 23, 2026.
Figure 2. Column chart of the build era of Paloma Lake's 52 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026: 0 were built before 2000, 27 were built between 2000 and 2014, 25 were built between 2015 and 2024, and 0 were built in 2025 or later.

That split is your real competition. A buyer standing in a 2000 to 2014 Paloma Lake house has just walked a 2015 to 2024 one, and the two are priced off the same 52 closings.

There is no builder price range or incentive to place beside your asking price on this page. The comparison a buyer actually makes is against the 18 homes for sale inside the same fence, 9 of which are asking less than their original asking price.

How long does it take to get a Paloma Lake home under contract?

The median Paloma Lake closing reached a contract at 33.0 days to contract in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, and the same measure was 35.0 days to contract in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025. Cumulative days to contract counts the days a home was listed before it went under contract, carried across relistings, so a home that came off and went back on does not restart at zero.

The shorter view reads differently. Across the 17 closings in the 90 days ending September 20, 2026 the median was 46.0 days to contract, against 33.0 days to contract across the 52 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026. What sellers accepted moved with it: Paloma Lake closings came in at 96.2% of the original asking price in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 and 95.0% across the 17 closings in the 90 days ending September 20, 2026, with 96.1% in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025.

The 18 homes for sale now carry the other half of the picture. The median active listing is asking $512,500 and has been listed 52.0 days so far, and 9 of the 18 are asking less than their original asking price. If you price from what your neighbors are asking, you are anchoring to a board where 9 of the 18 have already corrected once, and where the median asking price of $512,500 sits above the $504,625 median the closings actually reached.

Which price band am I in, and does the label apply to me?

Your band decides most of what this page means for you. Paloma Lake’s closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 run from the $350,000-$399,999 band to the $750,000-$799,999 band, and both volume and competition change sharply from one band to the next.

Where Paloma Lake's 52 closings landed by price band Closings by price band, twelve months ending September 20, 2026, with active listings in each band as of September 23, 2026 $350,000-$399,999 5 closings, a thin sample, with 1 active listing now and a band median of $380,000. $400,000-$449,999 8 closings, a thin sample, with 2 active listings now and a band median of $412,150. $450,000-$499,999 11 closings with 5 active listings now and a band median of $485,000. $500,000-$549,999 12 closings with 3 active listings now and a band median of $522,500. $550,000-$599,999 3 closings, a thin sample, with 3 active listings now and no band median published. $600,000-$649,999 5 closings, a thin sample, with 1 active listing now and a band median of $625,000. $650,000-$699,999 7 closings, a thin sample, with 2 active listings now and a band median of $670,000. $700,000-$749,999 0 closings, a thin sample, with 1 active listing now and no band median published. $750,000-$799,999 1 closing, a thin sample, with 0 active listings now and no band median published. Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 23, 2026.
Figure 1. Column chart of Paloma Lake closings by price band in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026: $350,000-$399,999 had 5 closings, $400,000-$449,999 had 8, $450,000-$499,999 had 11, $500,000-$549,999 had 12, $550,000-$599,999 had 3, $600,000-$649,999 had 5, $650,000-$699,999 had 7, $700,000-$749,999 had 0 and $750,000-$799,999 had 1, and every band under 10 closings is a thin sample.

Paloma Lake carries a seller’s market label at 4.2 months of inventory on the twelve-month basis. That label is for the subdivision overall, and a price point changes which market a home is in, so a $380,000 Paloma Lake home and a $670,000 one are not in the same contest even though they share a label.

Table 2. Paloma Lake price bands, closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 against active listings as of September 23, 2026. Any band with fewer than 10 closings is a thin sample. Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 23, 2026.
Price bandClosings, twelve monthsActive nowBand median sale price
$350,000-$399,99951$380,000
$400,000-$449,99982$412,150
$450,000-$499,999115$485,000
$500,000-$549,999123$522,500
$550,000-$599,99933No band median published
$600,000-$649,99951$625,000
$650,000-$699,99972$670,000
$700,000-$749,99901No band median published
$750,000-$799,99910No band median published

The $500,000-$549,999 band carried the most closings at 12, with 3 active now and a band median of $522,500, and the $450,000-$499,999 band carried 11 closings with 5 active now and a band median of $485,000. Those two are the only bands that are not a thin sample, and the $504,625 subdivision median sits between them.

Everything else on the table is thin. The $650,000-$699,999 band had 7 closings, a thin sample, with 2 active now and a band median of $670,000, the $600,000-$649,999 band had 5 closings, a thin sample, with 1 active now and a band median of $625,000, and the $550,000-$599,999 band had 3 closings, a thin sample, with 3 active now and no band median published. At the top, the $700,000-$749,999 band had 0 closings and the $750,000-$799,999 band had 1 closing, both thin samples with no band median published.

Round Rock as a whole closed 1,853 homes in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 at a median of $399,999, with 647 active listings and 4.2 months of inventory on the twelve-month basis. Paloma Lake’s $504,625 median sits above that, and its 4.2 months matches the town’s 4.2 months.

Table 3. Paloma Lake beside Round Rock as a whole, twelve months ending September 20, 2026. Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 23, 2026.
MeasurePaloma LakeRound Rock
Closings, twelve months521,853
Median sale price$504,625$399,999
Active listings18647
Months of inventory, twelve-month basis4.24.2

Why does my Paloma Lake listing show up under so many different names?

One neighborhood, one city, many spellings. All 52 Paloma Lake closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 carry Round Rock as the MLS city, so there is no city line splitting this one in two.

The name is the part that fragments. Paloma Lake appears in the MLS under 24 spellings, running from PALOMA LAKE and Paloma Lake through Paloma Lake Sec 01A, Paloma Lake Sec 01B, Paloma Lake Sec 11, Paloma Lake Sec 12, Paloma Lake Sec 17a and Paloma Lake Sec 17b. All of them are counted here as one subdivision, which is why this page reads 52 closings where a search on a single section name reads a handful at a time.

That matters more than it sounds. A seller whose agent pulls comparable sales from one section spelling is pricing off a fraction of the record, and where the closings break 27 against 25 across two build eras, that fraction can be almost entirely one era. Your listing competes against all 18 homes for sale here, and the closings that support your price are all 52.

For geography, the MLS listing fields for Paloma Lake carry Herrington and Round Rock ISD. Attendance is set by the district and by the specific address, so confirm the assignment for your own address with Round Rock ISD before it goes in front of a buyer.

How many Paloma Lake listings ended without a sale?

28 Paloma Lake listings ended without a sale in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, a non-sale share of 35.0%, which means listings that expired or were withdrawn by their off-market date, as a share of every listing that reached an outcome either way. Round Rock as a whole had 663 listings reach an outcome in the same period, at 26.4%.

Those 28 sellers worked the same board as the 52 who closed, with the same buyers walking the same streets. The measurable difference sits in the two day counts already on this page: the homes that closed reached contract at a median 33.0 days to contract in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, and the homes still for sale have been listed a median 52.0 days so far. A seller who has to be out by a date is better off deciding in advance what the price does by 33.0 days, while the listing is still new to every buyer with an alert set for Paloma Lake.

Worried your price is anchored to an asking number nobody in Paloma Lake paid?

A WIR analyst walks Paloma Lake with you, looks at the 18 listings on the board, the 9 asking under their original price and the closings in your band, and shows you what a buyer sees before your sign goes up:

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No obligation. The report for Paloma Lake arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome.

Your situation

If your home sits in the $450,000-$499,999 or $500,000-$549,999 bands, you are in the busiest part of Paloma Lake and the only part with a sample that is not thin. Those bands carried 11 and 12 of the 52 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, at band medians of $485,000 and $522,500, and they have 5 and 3 active listings now, so a buyer has real choice and your first 33.0 days carry the weight, which is what the typical Paloma Lake sale took to go under contract.

If your home sits in the $700,000-$749,999 or $750,000-$799,999 bands, you are reading thin samples. The $700,000-$749,999 band had 0 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, a thin sample, with 1 active listing now, and the $750,000-$799,999 band had 1 closing, a thin sample, with 0 active now, and no band median is published for either. At that level the comparison has to be built house by house, because there is not enough Paloma Lake volume to lean on.

If your house was built between 2000 and 2014, you are in the larger of Paloma Lake’s two groups at 27 of the 52 closings, and the 25 closings built between 2015 and 2024 are what a buyer sees on the same afternoon. No builder is on the board and none of the 18 active listings is a builder listing, so the gap you are closing is against a neighbor’s house rather than a model home.

About Watters International Realty in Round Rock

Watters International Realty is a Texas real estate brokerage based in Austin, with Chris Watters as broker of record. This page is written from ACTRIS data pulled through MLS Grid and analyzed by WIR on September 23, 2026.

Chris Watters, Broker, Watters International Realty. Texas Real Estate Commission license #567369. Broker of record for a Texas brokerage based in Austin, serving the Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Antonio and Killeen-Temple-Waco metros.

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Sources: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 23, 2026 [q_5e48edf92c, q_8871445f6a, q_935a0420ef, q_a1bdd2eeed]. Subdivision is the MLS subdivision name, normalized across its recorded spellings.

Last updated September 23, 2026. Sales data covers the 90 days ending September 20, 2026 and the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid); listing inventory as of September 23, 2026.

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