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Why do 11 of the 17 Forest Creek homes for sale ask under their first price?

Eleven of the 17 homes for sale in Forest Creek in Round Rock are asking less than they first asked as of September 23, 2026, and the median active listing asks $565,000. Behind that board sit 51 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 at a median sale price of $532,000 and a median cumulative days on the market to contract of 41.0.

Forest Creek is an all-resale market. All 51 of those closings were resale, none was a new build, none of the 17 homes for sale here is a builder listing, and 38 of the 51 were built between 2000 and 2014 while 13 were built before 2000. The median Forest Creek closing measured 2,948 square feet, so the house a buyer puts next to yours is a large 2002-era home two streets over, not a model in a sales office.

Quick answer

Forest Creek closed 51 homes in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 at a median sale price of $532,000, a median 41.0 days to contract and 93.7% of the original asking price, on a median living area of 2,948 square feet and $192 per square foot. There are 17 active listings at a median asking price of $565,000, 11 of them asking less than their original asking price, and 4.0 months of inventory on the twelve-month basis, which carries a seller’s market label for the subdivision overall; that label is for Forest Creek as a whole, and a price point changes which market a home is in, so your band tells you more than the label does. All 51 closings were resale, none of the 17 active listings is a builder listing, and no Forest Creek price band reached 10 closings, so every band on this page is a thin sample.

What we analyzed

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What is my Forest Creek home worth right now?

The middle of the Forest Creek market was $532,000 across 51 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, at $192 per square foot on a median living area of 2,948 square feet. In the 90 days ending September 20, 2026 the median was $569,000 across 15 closings, at $180 per square foot on a median living area of 3,029 square feet.

Those two medians point in opposite directions, and square footage is why. The 15 closings in the 90 days ending September 20, 2026 had a median living area of 3,029 square feet against 2,948 square feet across the 51 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, so the recent group is bigger houses at a higher median price and a lower price per square foot, $180 against $192. If you own one of the larger Forest Creek floor plans, the $569,000 figure is the closer read; if your house sits near the middle, it is not.

Set against the year before, Forest Creek’s median sale price was $582,500 in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025 and $532,000 in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, on a median living area of 3,042 square feet in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025 and 2,948 square feet in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026. Price per square foot was $202 in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025 and $192 in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026.

Table 1. Forest Creek on three periods, closings through September 20, 2026. Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 23, 2026.
MeasureTwelve months ending 2026-09-20Prior twelve months, 2024-09-21 to 2025-09-2090 days ending 2026-09-20
Closings515015
Median sale price$532,000$582,500$569,000
Median days to contract41.072.030.0
Percentage of original asking price93.7%96.2%93.3%
Median living area2,948 sq ft3,042 sq ft3,029 sq ft
Price per square foot$192$202$180
Median year built200220002000

Table 1 is the scoreboard in one place, and the line to read twice is price per square foot: $202 in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025 and $192 in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, on median living areas of 3,042 and 2,948 square feet.

How long does it take to get a Forest Creek home under contract?

The median Forest Creek closing reached a contract at 41.0 days to contract in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, and the same measure was 72.0 days to contract in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025. Across the 15 closings in the 90 days ending September 20, 2026 it was 30.0 days to contract. Cumulative days to contract counts the days a home was listed before it went under contract, carried across relistings, so a relisted home does not start over at zero.

What sellers gave up to get there is the other half. Closings came in at 96.2% of the original asking price in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025 and 93.7% in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, and across the 15 closings in the 90 days ending September 20, 2026 the figure was 93.3%. Contracts arrived at 41.0 days to contract in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 against 72.0 days to contract in the twelve months ending September 20, 2025, and at 93.7% of the original asking price against 96.2%.

The 17 homes for sale now carry the rest of it. The median active listing asks $565,000 and has been listed 38.0 days so far, and 11 of the 17 are asking less than their original asking price, against a median Forest Creek closing of $532,000 in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026. Price from what your neighbors are asking and you are anchoring to a board where 11 of 17 sellers have already corrected once.

Am I competing against builders in Forest Creek?

No builder is selling against you inside Forest Creek. None of the 17 active listings is a builder listing, no builder name appears on any of them, and of the 51 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, 0 were new build and 51 were resale.

The build years say the same from the other side: of those 51 closings, 13 were built before 2000 and 38 between 2000 and 2014, none was built between 2015 and 2024, and none in 2025 or later. The median year built among the 51 is 2002. There is no builder price range or incentive to set beside your asking price here.

Forest Creek sold nothing built after 2014 Build era of the 51 Forest Creek closings, twelve months ending September 20, 2026 Before 2000 13 of the 51 closings came out of Forest Creek's oldest sections. 2000 to 2014 38 of the 51 closings, which is the stock most Forest Creek buyers are shown. 2015 to 2024 No Forest Creek closing in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 was built between 2015 and 2024. 2025 or later No closing was built in 2025 or later, and none of the 17 active listings is a builder listing. Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 23, 2026.
Figure 2. Column chart of the build era of Forest Creek's 51 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026: 13 were built before 2000, 38 were built between 2000 and 2014, 0 were built between 2015 and 2024, and 0 were built in 2025 or later.

That makes pricing here different from pricing in the parts of Round Rock where a sales office is still writing contracts. A buyer who wants to put your house next to standing builder inventory has to leave the neighborhood to do it. What that buyer compares instead is the 17 homes for sale inside the same fence, 11 of them asking less than their original asking price, and the 51 resale closings behind them. Your competition in Forest Creek is a neighbor with a similar 2002-era floor plan, and a neighbor can reprice on a weekend.

Which price band am I in, and does the market label apply to me?

Your band decides most of what this page means for you. The 51 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 spread from the $250,000-$299,999 band to the $1,200,000-$1,249,999 band, and no band reached 10 closings, so every Forest Creek band is a thin sample.

Where Forest Creek's 51 closings landed by price band Closings by price band, twelve months ending September 20, 2026, with active listings in each band as of September 23, 2026 $250,000-$299,999 1 closing, a thin sample, with 0 active listings now and no band median published. $300,000-$349,999 1 closing, a thin sample, with 0 active listings now and no band median published. $350,000-$399,999 4 closings, a thin sample, with 0 active listings now and no band median published. $400,000-$449,999 9 closings, a thin sample, with 3 active listings now and a band median of $419,000. $450,000-$499,999 7 closings, a thin sample, with 3 active listings now and a band median of $475,000. $500,000-$549,999 5 closings, a thin sample, with 2 active listings now and a band median of $525,000. $550,000-$599,999 4 closings, a thin sample, with 1 active listing now and no band median published. $600,000-$649,999 4 closings, a thin sample, with 1 active listing now and no band median published. $650,000-$699,999 3 closings, a thin sample, with 3 active listings now and no band median published. $700,000-$749,999 3 closings, a thin sample, with 2 active listings now and no band median published. $750,000-$799,999 4 closings, a thin sample, with 0 active listings now and no band median published. $800,000-$849,999 3 closings, a thin sample, with 0 active listings now and no band median published. $850,000-$899,999 1 closing, a thin sample, with 0 active listings now and no band median published. $950,000-$999,999 No closing in this band in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, a thin sample, with 1 active listing now and no band median published. $1,000,000-$1,049,999 No closing in this band in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, a thin sample, with 1 active listing now and no band median published. $1,200,000-$1,249,999 2 closings, a thin sample, with 0 active listings now and no band median published. Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 23, 2026.
Figure 1. Column chart of Forest Creek closings by price band in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026: $250,000-$299,999 had 1 closing, $300,000-$349,999 had 1, $350,000-$399,999 had 4, $400,000-$449,999 had 9, $450,000-$499,999 had 7, $500,000-$549,999 had 5, $550,000-$599,999 had 4, $600,000-$649,999 had 4, $650,000-$699,999 had 3, $700,000-$749,999 had 3, $750,000-$799,999 had 4, $800,000-$849,999 had 3, $850,000-$899,999 had 1, $950,000-$999,999 had 0, $1,000,000-$1,049,999 had 0 and $1,200,000-$1,249,999 had 2, and because no band reached 10 closings every band shown is a thin sample.

Forest Creek carries a seller’s market label at 4.0 months of inventory on the twelve-month basis. That label is for the subdivision overall, and a price point changes which market a home is in, so a $419,000 Forest Creek home and a home in the $1,200,000-$1,249,999 band are not in the same contest even though they share a label.

Table 2. Forest Creek price bands, closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 against active listings as of September 23, 2026. No band reached 10 closings, so every band here is a thin sample. Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 23, 2026.
Price bandClosings, twelve monthsActive nowBand median sale price
$250,000-$299,99910No band median published
$300,000-$349,99910No band median published
$350,000-$399,99940No band median published
$400,000-$449,99993$419,000
$450,000-$499,99973$475,000
$500,000-$549,99952$525,000
$550,000-$599,99941No band median published
$600,000-$649,99941No band median published
$650,000-$699,99933No band median published
$700,000-$749,99932No band median published
$750,000-$799,99940No band median published
$800,000-$849,99930No band median published
$850,000-$899,99910No band median published
$950,000-$999,99901No band median published
$1,000,000-$1,049,99901No band median published
$1,200,000-$1,249,99920No band median published

The heaviest band was $400,000-$449,999 with 9 closings, a thin sample, 3 active listings now and a band median of $419,000. Next came $450,000-$499,999 with 7 closings, also a thin sample, 3 active now and a band median of $475,000, then $500,000-$549,999 with 5 closings, a thin sample, 2 active now and a band median of $525,000. Those three are the only Forest Creek bands with a published band median.

Higher up, the listings are thicker than the closings behind them. The $650,000-$699,999 band had 3 closings, a thin sample, against 3 active listings now, and the $700,000-$749,999 band had 3 closings, a thin sample, against 2 active now. The $950,000-$999,999 and the $1,000,000-$1,049,999 bands each have 1 active listing now against 0 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, thin samples both, with no band median published. Above them, the $1,200,000-$1,249,999 band had 2 closings, a thin sample, and 0 active now.

Round Rock as a whole closed 1,853 homes in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 at a median of $399,999, with 647 active listings and 4.2 months of inventory on the twelve-month basis. Forest Creek’s median sale price of $532,000 sits above the town median, and its 4.0 months of inventory sits below the town’s 4.2 months.

Table 3. Forest Creek beside Round Rock as a whole, twelve months ending September 20, 2026. Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 23, 2026.
MeasureForest CreekRound Rock
Closings, twelve months511,853
Median sale price$532,000$399,999
Active listings17647
Months of inventory, twelve-month basis4.04.2

How many Forest Creek listings ended without a sale?

18 Forest Creek listings ended without a sale in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, a non-sale share of 26.1%, which means listings that expired or were withdrawn by their off-market date, as a share of every listing that reached an outcome either way. Round Rock as a whole had 663 listings reach an outcome in the same period, at 26.4%.

Those 18 sellers worked the same board as the 51 who closed, with the same buyers walking the same streets. The measurable difference sits in two numbers already on this page: the Forest Creek homes that closed reached a contract at a median 41.0 days to contract, and the homes still for sale have been listed a median 38.0 days so far. A Forest Creek seller who has to be gone by a date is better off deciding in advance what the price does by 41.0 days, while the listing is still new to buyers with an alert set for this subdivision.

Why does my Forest Creek listing show up under so many subdivision names?

Because Forest Creek was platted in sections and phases and the MLS never settled on one spelling. The subdivision appears under 31 spellings, running from FOREST CREEK and Forest Creek through Forest Creek Ph 01 Sec 01, Forest Creek SEC 36 and Forest Creek Sec 11. All of them are counted here as one subdivision, which is why this page reads 51 closings where a section by section search reads a handful at a time.

The effect on you is a pricing effect. An agent who searches one spelling sees a slice of the record, and a slice of 51 closings spread across bands that are every one a thin sample is not enough to price a house on.

The city field is the one place Forest Creek is unambiguous. All 51 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 carry Round Rock as the MLS city, so nothing here is split across a city line. For geography, the MLS listing fields for Forest Creek carry Round Rock ISD. Attendance is set by the district and by the specific address, so confirm the assignment for your own address with Round Rock ISD before it goes in front of a buyer.

Worried your price is anchored to asks that have already been cut?

A WIR analyst walks Forest Creek with you, looks at the 17 listings on the board, the 11 asking under their original price and the closings in your band, and shows you what a buyer sees before your sign goes up:

Step 1 of 4

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No obligation. The report for Forest Creek arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome.

Your situation

If your home sits in the $400,000-$449,999 band, you are in the busiest part of Forest Creek, and it is still a thin sample at 9 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, with a band median of $419,000 and 3 active listings now. With that few closings behind you and that few homes beside you, one neighbor repricing changes what a buyer thinks your house is worth.

If your home is larger than the Forest Creek median, read the 90-day line carefully. The 15 closings in the 90 days ending September 20, 2026 had a median living area of 3,029 square feet, a median price of $569,000 and $180 per square foot, against 2,948 square feet, $532,000 and $192 per square foot across the 51 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026. The bigger houses got the bigger number and the smaller rate per foot.

If your home sits in the $950,000-$999,999 or the $1,000,000-$1,049,999 band, you are pricing without local closings: each band had 0 closings in the twelve months ending September 20, 2026, thin samples both, with 1 active listing in each and no band median published. The nearest evidence is the $1,200,000-$1,249,999 band, which had 2 closings, a thin sample, so at your level the comparison has to be built house by house.

About Watters International Realty in Round Rock

Watters International Realty is a Texas real estate brokerage based in Austin, with Chris Watters as broker of record. This page is written from ACTRIS data pulled through MLS Grid and analyzed by WIR on September 23, 2026.

Chris Watters, Broker, Watters International Realty. Texas Real Estate Commission license #567369. Broker of record for a Texas brokerage based in Austin, serving the Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Antonio and Killeen-Temple-Waco metros.

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Sources: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 23, 2026 [q_8871445f6a, q_93177d347c, q_9a952c435a, q_ae867f64b4]. Subdivision is the MLS subdivision name, normalized across its recorded spellings.

Last updated September 23, 2026. Sales data covers the 90 days ending September 20, 2026 and the twelve months ending September 20, 2026 (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid); listing inventory as of September 23, 2026.

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