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Why aren’t homes selling in 78653? Nearly four in ten never sold

By Chris Watters, Broker and CEO, Watters International Realty

Our read is that 78653 is running two markets at once. The 147 homes that sold in the 90 days ending September 8, 2026 went in a median of 49 days on the market, against 48 for the Austin metro, and a share of the ZIP’s listings ended without a sale. The homes that sold went at metro speed; the ones that did not, did not sell at all, and in our read that is a price, promotion or product problem the seller controls before the listing goes live.

Quick answer

Homes in Manor’s 78653 that sold in the 90 days ending September 8, 2026 sold at the Austin metro’s speed, a median of 49 days on the market against 48, at 94.6% of their original asking price against 94.9%. The listings that ended without a sale in the same period are, in WIR’s read, failing on price, promotion or product, beside 147 builder listings inside the ZIP. What changes it for your home is whether it is priced where the market is on day one, has its inspection problems fixed before it lists, and is in front of buyers before it goes public.

What we analyzed

Sources: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 9, 2026; WIR New Construction Inventory tracking; Freddie Mac PMMS.

Already know your likely price? Jump to whether this applies to your home, or run your address now.

The wider Manor story is on the Manor, TX real estate market report, and every figure on this page is tabled on the 78653 housing market report.

Last updated September 9, 2026. Sales data covers the 90 days ending September 8, 2026 (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid); listing inventory as of September 9, 2026; builder pricing and incentives read September 8, 2026.

What do the numbers say about the Manor homes that sold?

In the 90 days ending September 8, 2026, 147 homes closed in 78653 at a median sale price of $330,000 (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid, WIR analysis). Median days on market was 49, against 48 for the Austin metro over the same 90 days, and what homes sold for relative to their initial asking price was 94.6% in the ZIP against 94.9% in the metro. On the sold side, a Manor home took about as long and gave up about as much as a home anywhere else in the metro. Speed on its own, with the corridor comparison and the same 90 days last year, is on how long are homes taking to sell in Manor?, and the full table with every figure and its source is on the 78653 housing market report.

How many Manor listings ended without a sale?

In the 90 days ending September 8, 2026, 89 listings in 78653 ended without a sale, which is 37.7% of every listing that reached an outcome either way, against 35.4% for the Austin metro over the same 90 days. The figure counts listings that expired or were withdrawn in those 90 days, as a share of those plus the homes that closed. It is a measurement for one period, and nothing on this page says whether it is higher or lower than it used to be; the split-market conclusion drawn from it is WIR’s read. No attribute comparison exists on file between the listings that sold and the listings that did not, by condition, age, updates, subdivision or price, so nothing on this page says which homes failed. What is on file is what a seller controls, under the three headings Chris uses.

37.7% of 78653 listings that reached an outcome ended without a sale; the metro's share was 35.4% Listings that expired or were withdrawn, as a share of every listing that reached an outcome, 90 days ending September 8, 2026. One period; no trend. 78653 (Manor) 37.7% Austin metro 35.4% Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 9, 2026.
Figure 1. Two bars: 37.7% for 78653 and 35.4% for the Austin metro. Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 9, 2026.

Is it the price?

Price is the one the market reports on. On September 9, 2026, 190 of the 367 homes for sale in 78653 had already cut from their original list price, which is 51.8% of the market, and among the 220 resale actives, 129 had cut. The homes that sold in the 90 days ending September 8 went at 94.6% of their original asking price, so the sellers who closed were, as a group, the ones whose first number was close to the market’s. Our read is that most of the 190 are homes that reached, waited and corrected. Chris’s position on the first thirty days, that a home correcting in week six is shown to a thinner audience than the one that saw it in week one, is on how long are homes taking to sell in Manor? The day-one number is set in a ZIP where the median sale price is $330,000 and builders list homes from $247,900, with the full ladder by price on the 78653 housing market report.

Is it the promotion?

Promotion is on the agent, and in 78653 the competition is promoted full-time. 147 of the 367 homes for sale are builder listings, and Pacesetter advertises a rate as low as 4.99% (terms apply, subject to change) against the Freddie Mac survey rate of 6.71% on September 3, 2026. The full list by builder, community and price is on what is your Manor home competing against right now? A resale gets in front of the right buyer before it goes public, or it competes on the shelf next to them. At WIR, after the listing agreement and before the public listing, the home is marketed to WIR’s buyer network during the coming-soon stage: more than 2,000 vetted cash buyers and more than 100,000 buyers in the WIR database. A reverse-prospecting search on saved MLS searches follows, so the agent whose buyer saved a search your home matches gets a call. You see every option and you choose; if none is right, the home goes to the public market. This is the standard process after the listing agreement, not an add-on. The other half of promotion is response, and Chris’s position below covers it.

Is it the product?

Product is condition, and in 78653 the condition bar is a finished spec with a builder warranty. The builder listings on the MLS sit at a median of 60 cumulative days on the market against 43 for the resale actives, so the specs are not flying off either. A buyer who has just walked one is judging your kitchen against it that afternoon. What to fix first, what to skip, and Chris’s position on where the money comes back are on how much should you spend fixing your Manor home before selling? What a resale wins on that a spec cannot offer, the lot, the finished street, the price under the builder’s floor, is on the competition page linked above.

Would your home sell in this market?

It likely sells if it is priced on day one where the 147 sold homes were priced, at a number that holds up against the finished spec a buyer can tour at the same price. The homes that sold in the 90 days ending September 8, 2026 went at 94.6% of original asking in a median of 49 days. It likely sells if an inspector would find nothing you do not already know about. It likely sells if it is in front of buyers during the coming-soon stage, before it goes public. If that is you, the fastest way to know is to run your address.

It likely sits if it is priced to leave room, in a ZIP where 190 of the 367 homes for sale have already cut and the buyer has 147 builder listings to see instead. It likely sits if the kitchen and baths read as an older generation next to a spec and the price does not account for it. It likely sits if the first anyone hears of it is the day it goes live, which in a ZIP that saw 289 new listings in 90 days means it arrives in a crowd.

Your situation

None of this tells you which of the three is your problem, because no page can. It depends on where your price sits against the finished homes a buyer can tour at your number, what an inspector would find in your house this week, and whether the home has been in front of anyone already looking. So what is the honest answer for your address: is it price, promotion, or product?

Would your home sell in this market? Find out before you list

Whether your home lands with the 147 that sold or with the 89 that did not depends on its price against the homes a buyer can tour at that number, what an inspector would find, and who sees it first. Give us your address and we run the process behind this page against your actual property. You get:

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No obligation. An analyst runs your address, your part of 78653, and the timeline you name. Estimates are estimates; nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome. 118 homes sold by Watters International Realty in 78653.

Chris’s take: why a home fails to sell

Chris’s position, WIR positions library, approved September 9, 2026.

A home that does not sell has a price problem, a promotion problem, or a product problem, and usually the seller was told it was the market. It was not the market. The homes that sold in this ZIP in the same ninety days sold at metro speed. It is also not true that marketing rarely matters. Plenty of homes are marketed badly, by agents who have no system for following up and no system for responding the minute a buyer raises a hand.

For the 90 days ending September 8, 2026, that metro speed was a median of 49 days on the market in 78653 against 48 in the Austin metro.

About Watters International Realty in Manor

Watters International Realty is a Texas real estate brokerage based in Austin, with Chris Watters as broker of record. This page is written from ACTRIS data pulled through MLS Grid and analyzed by WIR on September 9, 2026, and from the WIR New Construction Inventory sheet. 118 homes sold by Watters International Realty in 78653.

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No obligation. Estimates are estimates; nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome.

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Chris Watters, Broker, Watters International Realty. Texas Real Estate Commission license #567369. Broker of record for a Texas brokerage based in Austin, serving the Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Antonio and Killeen-Temple-Waco metros.