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What is your Manor home worth next to a new build asking $390,000?

By Chris Watters, Broker and CEO, Watters International Realty

What a buyer pays for it against the finished house they also tour that weekend. In 78653 the median home that sold in the 90 days ending September 8, 2026 went for $330,000. That figure sits inside both published Pacesetter ranges in the ZIP and $100 above the Village at Manor Commons published floor of $329,900. Our read is that your home is worth neither the builder’s asking price nor that price minus a fixed discount, only what it wins or loses against that house on price, condition, lot and location.

Quick answer

A Manor home is worth what a buyer pays for it against the finished new house they also tour, and in 78653 for the 90 days ending September 8, 2026 the median home that sold went for $330,000, inside both Pacesetter published ranges and $100 above the Village at Manor Commons published floor of $329,900. The 147 builder listings on the MLS on September 9, 2026 asked a median $390,470, so the typical new house is asking more than the typical resale sold for, and the buyer is choosing between a finished house at one number and yours at another. What changes it for you is which $50,000 step your likely price lands in, and whether a spec is standing there with a warranty and a bought-down rate.

What we analyzed

Sources: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 9, 2026; WIR New Construction Inventory tracking; Freddie Mac PMMS; Travis Central Appraisal District, 2026 notices; Manor ISD Bond 2026.

Already know your likely price? Jump to whether this applies to your home, or run your address now.

The wider Manor story is on the Manor, TX real estate market report, and every figure on this page is tabled on the 78653 housing market report.

Last updated September 9, 2026. Sales data covers the 90 days ending September 8, 2026 (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid); listing inventory as of September 9, 2026; builder pricing and incentives read September 8, 2026.

What did homes in 78653 actually sell for?

In the 90 days ending September 8, 2026, 147 homes closed in 78653 at a median sale price of $330,000, in a median 49 cumulative days on market, at 94.6% of their initial asking price. It is the price this page is built on, and it comes from actual Manor closings. The same 90 days a year earlier closed 162 homes at a median of $339,990, which is the one prior-period comparison on file and is stated here with both figures because a single pair of medians is not a direction.

Set the new houses beside it. On the MLS on September 9, 2026, the 147 builder listings in 78653 asked from $247,900 to $545,331, with a median asking price of $390,470. Those are asking prices for homes that have not sold, against a median for homes that did, so they measure different things; together they show the typical new house asking more than the typical resale fetched. The WIR New Construction Inventory sheet, read September 8, 2026, adds what the MLS does not carry: Pacesetter publishes $242,900 to $419,900 in Whisper Valley and $329,900 to $411,900 in Village at Manor Commons. The ZIP median of $330,000 sits inside both of those ranges, and $100 above the Village at Manor Commons floor.

Where does your price sit against the new houses?

Find your likely number in the table. Each row is a $50,000 step, and the columns show whether a published Pacesetter range reaches it and where the ZIP median lands. The rows carry no market label; that is on is 78653 a buyer’s market or a seller’s market?, and the full list of sixteen builders by community and price is on what is your Manor home competing against right now?

Where the 78653 median sale price lands against the two published Pacesetter ranges, in $50,000 steps. Sources: WIR New Construction Inventory sheet, read September 8, 2026 (published ranges); Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, 90 days ending September 8, 2026 (median sale price,). No step carries a market label.
$50,000 stepWhisper Valley, published $242,900 to $419,900Village at Manor Commons, published $329,900 to $411,90078653 median sale price, $330,000
$200,000 to $249,999Bottom of the range falls here ($242,900)Does not reach
$250,000 to $299,999Range spans this stepDoes not reach
$300,000 to $349,999Range spans this stepBottom of the range falls here ($329,900)Median falls here ($330,000)
$350,000 to $399,999Range spans this stepRange spans this step
$400,000 to $449,999Top of the range falls here ($419,900)Top of the range falls here ($411,900)
$450,000 and aboveDoes not reachDoes not reach
The 78653 median sale price is $330,000; builder listings ask a median $390,470 Where the median sale sits against the builder ranges. Sales: 90 days ending September 8, 2026. Listings: September 9, 2026. $250K $300K $350K $400K $450K $500K $550K MLS builder listings, $247,900 to $545,331 (September 9, 2026) Whisper Valley published range, $242,900 to $419,900 (sheet, September 8, 2026) Village at Manor Commons published range, $329,900 to $411,900 78653 median sale price $330,000 Builder listings median asking $390,470 Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 9, 2026.; WIR New Construction Inventory sheet.
Figure 1. A price axis with the 78653 median sale price at $330,000, the builder listings' median asking price at $390,470, the MLS builder range $247,900 to $545,331, and the two Pacesetter published ranges. Source: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) via MLS Grid, WIR analysis, pulled September 9, 2026.

The $300,000 to $349,999 step is the one place in Manor where the ZIP median, a Whisper Valley spec and a Village at Manor Commons spec can all be standing at once, and the MLS shows builder inventory at 34% of the homes for sale in that step. Above $420,000 the comparison changes, because half of what is for sale is new construction and the sales are few enough that no price direction is claimed; that reader’s page is should you sell acreage or a higher-priced home in Manor now, or wait?

Is your home worth the builder’s price minus something?

No. A builder’s asking price is what the builder wants for a specific house with a warranty, a rate incentive and a move-in date attached. It tells you what your buyer’s other option costs. Subtracting a fixed amount from it is guesswork, because the discount a buyer applies depends on what they see when they walk through yours.

Our read is that market value in 78653 this fall is a comparison a buyer makes between two houses they can tour the same week: price; condition, where the spec arrives with nothing an inspector will flag; lot and yard, where a resale often has the larger lot and the mature trees; location inside the ZIP; and closing timeline. Your home is worth what it wins on that comparison, priced where the market is on day one. What that preparation should cost, given the finished spec it competes against, is on how much should you spend fixing your Manor home before selling?

Do builder rate buydowns cut the price of your house?

They cut the buyer’s payment on the new house, and they leave the sale price where it is. Pacesetter’s two Manor communities advertise a rate as low as 4.99% (terms apply, subject to change) against the Freddie Mac survey rate of 6.71% on September 3, 2026, a gap of 1.72 percentage points. The builder is buying the payment. WIR has no appraisal data for 78653 and does not say what an appraiser does with a builder’s concession. What it means for you is that the rate is off the table, so you compete on what a payment cannot buy: a price set to the market on day one, a house that passes its own inspection, the lot, the trees, the street, and a closing date the buyer needs.

What is the difference between appraised value and market value?

Appraised value is a tax number. The appraisal district sets it as of January 1, a homestead cap can hold it down, and it exists so a taxing unit can send a bill. Market value is what a buyer pays for your house this month. One does not set the other.

Two public figures make that matter for a Manor owner this fall. The Travis Central Appraisal District’s 2026 notices put the countywide median market value at $493,449 and single-family market value down 1.8% year over year, with no Manor breakout. Manor ISD has a $400 million bond on the November 3, 2026 ballot, and the district’s own math on an average home valued at $331,764 shows about $9.56 a month less than last year, stated here as the district publishes it. Neither is a buyer saying what your house is worth. Watters International Realty is a real estate brokerage and not a tax or legal adviser. Questions about your own appraised value, your homestead cap, whether to protest, a PID assessment on your lot, or what the November 3 bond would do to your own tax bill belong with a tax professional, and the record for your specific parcel is held by the Travis Central Appraisal District (https://traviscad.org). What WIR can tell you is what a buyer would pay.

Is your home worth more or less than the spec down the road?

Likely more if you own a lot, mature trees, a finished street or a location inside the ZIP that a builder cannot reproduce at your price. Likely more if your home passes the inspection a buyer’s inspector would run and your kitchen and baths read as current next to the spec. Likely more if your likely price sits under $300,000, where new builds are 4% to 12% of the homes for sale, or under the builder’s floor for your square footage, because at that point the buyer is choosing between a finished house and a better deal. If that is you, the fastest way to know is to run your address.

Likely less if your likely price sits between $350,000 and $500,000, where new builds are 58% to 78% of what is for sale, and a spec at your number carries a warranty and an advertised payment your buyer cannot get on yours. Likely less if the inspection will find a roof, an HVAC system or a water heater at the end of its life, or if your finishes read as a generation older than the spec. Likely less if your price was set against the neighbor’s asking price, since 190 of the 367 homes for sale in 78653 on September 9, 2026 had already cut from their original list.

Your situation

The ZIP gives you the median and the sheet gives you the builder ranges. Your house decides the rest: which row of the table you land in, what your condition looks like next to a spec with a warranty, and whether your lot and your street are things the builder cannot offer. That leaves one question. If a finished new house is standing at your price in 78653 with a builder-paid rate attached, what is your house worth to the buyer who has just walked out of it?

What would a buyer pay for your home next to a new one?

The median is the ZIP’s number; what your home is worth depends on where your price lands against the finished houses at that number and on what yours offers that they do not. Give us your address and we run the process behind this page against your actual property. You get:

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No obligation. An analyst runs your address, your part of 78653, and the timeline you name. Estimates are estimates; nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome. 118 homes sold by Watters International Realty in 78653.

Chris’s take: appraised value, comps, and what your home is worth

Chris Watters’s position, stated September 9, 2026. WIR does not forecast prices; the figures on this page are one period’s measurements.

Your appraised value and recent sold comps is where the market was yesterday. Tomorrow, the market is where your competition stands on price and features.

For the 90 days ending September 8, 2026, the median home that sold in 78653 went for $330,000; on September 9, 2026, the 147 builder listings for sale in the ZIP asked a median $390,470.

About Watters International Realty in Manor

Watters International Realty is a Texas real estate brokerage based in Austin, with Chris Watters as broker of record. This page is written from ACTRIS data pulled through MLS Grid and analyzed by WIR on September 9, 2026, and from the WIR New Construction Inventory sheet. 118 homes sold by Watters International Realty in 78653.

Questions Manor sellers ask about what their home is worth

What is my Manor home actually worth next to a brand new house a mile away?

It is worth what a buyer pays for it against the specific finished house they are also touring, however close that house is. The 78653 median sale price was $330,000 on 147 sales in the 90 days ending September 8, 2026, inside both Pacesetter published ranges and $100 above the Village at Manor Commons published floor of $329,900, while the 147 builder listings on the MLS asked a median $390,470 on September 9, 2026. Your home is worth neither the builder’s asking price nor that price minus a fixed discount; compare it to that house on price, condition, lot, yard, location and closing timeline. Appraised value is a tax number on a January 1 date, and market value is what a buyer pays this month. Watters International Realty is a real estate brokerage and not a tax or legal adviser. Questions about your own appraised value, your homestead cap, whether to protest, a PID assessment on your lot, or what the November 3 bond would do to your own tax bill belong with a tax professional, and the record for your specific parcel is held by the Travis Central Appraisal District (https://traviscad.org). What WIR can tell you is what a buyer would pay.

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No obligation. Estimates are estimates; nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome.

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Chris Watters, Broker, Watters International Realty. Texas Real Estate Commission license #567369. Broker of record for a Texas brokerage based in Austin, serving the Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Antonio and Killeen-Temple-Waco metros.