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Is Riverbend at Double Eagle setting the price for every Cedar Creek seller?

Quick answer

Cedar Creek is a buyer’s market overall: homes closed at 93.2% of original asking in the three months ending October 15, 2026.

In my read, Riverbend at Double Eagle, the busiest community by closings, does not set the price for every seller, because the communities around it closed at very different medians over the past twelve months. A price point also changes which market a home is in.

What we analyzed

Sources: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.

53 Cedar Creek homeowners have trusted my real estate team to sell their home, and that count doesn’t include a single buyer we’ve represented. Everything on this page comes from the same MLS record we used to price those homes.

Already have a rough idea of your price range? Skip down to see whether these numbers fit your home, or plug in your address for a closer look.

Every number on this page is also broken out in the tables on Does 78612 describe your Cedar Creek home? Check the reading for your price range.

Last updated October 16, 2026. Sales data covers the 90 days ending October 15, 2026 and the twelve months ending the same day (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid); listing inventory as of October 16, 2026.

What kind of market is Cedar Creek for a homeowner thinking of selling?

Overall, Cedar Creek reads as a buyer’s market. Homes closed at 93.2% of their original asking price over the last three months, under the 94% line I use for a balanced market, and that is the reading for the town as a whole. A price point changes which market a home is in, and the range table on Does 78612 describe your Cedar Creek home? Check the reading for your price range shows where.

Supply agrees, with 7.9 months of inventory against 6.0 for the Austin metro. Months of inventory is the time it would take to clear every listing at the current pace of sales, with no new ones added.

The ZIP code, 78612, shows the same 7.9 months, and the chart below puts the town beside the metro.

Months of inventory in Cedar Creek by ZIP code against the Austin metro Homes for sale as of October 16, 2026 divided by the monthly sales pace of the 90 days ending October 15, 2026. Lower is tighter. Cedar Creek (city) 7.9 78612 7.9 Austin metro 6.0 Source: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.
Figure 1. Cedar Creek at 7.9 months of supply compared with 6.0 months for the Austin metro. Months of inventory, 90 days ending October 15, 2026: Cedar Creek (city) 7.9; 78612 7.9; Austin metro 6.0. Whether it is a buyer’s or seller’s market comes from what homes sold for against their original asking price; months of supply is a supporting number. Source: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.

How much of the Cedar Creek market is new construction?

Almost half of what is for sale in Cedar Creek carries a builder’s name. Meritage Homes lists the most of the 9 builder names the MLS shows, with Saratoga Homes next.

Sales lean the same way. A little over half of the homes that closed in the last three months were new builds, 52.1%, and only 10 homes built before 2000 closed in those months. A seller with an older house has little recent history of its own kind to point to.

The builders, their asking ranges and the communities are laid out on Selling near Riverbend at Double Eagle? Which homes your buyer sees next

Are Cedar Creek home prices lower than a year ago?

Cedar Creek sellers face lower prices than a year ago. Over the past twelve months a square foot of the typical home sold for $181, against $203 in the twelve months before that.

Fewer homes changed hands too: 228 closed over the past twelve months against 244 the year before.

What that does to the number for your own house is on Can a Cedar Creek resale hold its price beside a builder’s finished home?

Which Cedar Creek communities close at which prices?

Riverbend at Double Eagle is the busiest community in town by closings, and the typical home that sold there over the past twelve months closed at $341,500.

The communities beside it closed at other medians. RAILHEAD closed at $409,990 and Double Eagle Ranch at $596,500, and the typical home in each was built in 2025, like Riverbend’s.

Older neighborhoods sit apart again, with River Crossing at $750,000 and Bluebonnet Acres at $319,000. In my read, a seller is priced against the homes in their own community and price range first, and Riverbend’s figure is one reference among several.

How fast do Cedar Creek homes sell?

Cedar Creek is a slow market for a seller who wants a contract quickly. The typical home took 99 days to go under contract over the past twelve months. Why some listings find a buyer and others wait is on Does a lower price buy a faster contract in Cedar Creek?

What are the biggest risks for a Cedar Creek seller right now?

The first is pricing against listings that have already conceded once. Most of the homes for sale sit below their original asking price, which sets the price a buyer expects to see.

Next comes the house a buyer sees on the same tour. In my read, that is often a builder listing, since builders hold almost half of the homes for sale.

The third is a price range with too few recent sales to read. Most ranges had fewer than 10 sales in the last three months, so I read them on twelve months instead. Timing range by range is on Few Cedar Creek homes are under contract right now. Should you list now or wait?

Where should a Cedar Creek seller start?

Pick the question that worries you most and begin there. If it is timing, read Few Cedar Creek homes are under contract right now. Should you list now or wait? If it is the new construction down the road, read Selling near Riverbend at Double Eagle? Which homes your buyer sees next If a neighbor’s listing has been up for months, read Does a lower price buy a faster contract in Cedar Creek? Every exact figure is in the tables on Does 78612 describe your Cedar Creek home? Check the reading for your price range

Does this market report apply to your home?

The town reading is a starting point, and your own home decides how closely it applies. To see your part of Cedar Creek, send us your address.

The decision pages for Cedar Creek sellers are linked in the list at the end.

Your situation

Cedar Creek buyers have plenty to choose from, and Meritage Homes and Saratoga Homes list the most of it. A listing is decided by the price it opens at and by the house the buyer sees next.

For your house, then: at the price you would open at, which homes stand beside it in Riverbend at Double Eagle or nearby, and what does yours offer that they do not?

Before You Put Your Home on the Market, See the Homes You’ll Have to Beat

If you worry your home will join the listings that have already cut their price, start by seeing what it would be up against. Request my complimentary Home Competitor Analysis for your address. You get:

Step 1 of 4

No obligation. The report for your part of Cedar Creek arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome. 53 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Cedar Creek (Unlock MLS, all time).

Why are buyers waiting on the sidelines in Cedar Creek?

Chris Watters’s position, stated September 9, 2026. WIR does not forecast prices; the figures on this page are one period’s measurements.

There is pent-up demand in the market. Tons of buyers on the sidelines not purchasing. This is because there is a lack of alignment between the sellers’ personal wants and what a buyer can afford. Affordability has been severely impacted because of interest rates. Interest rates and home prices move in opposite directions in most instances. However, unlike Wall Street, the market is not that fluid. But in reality, it should be.

You can see that gap in Cedar Creek’s listings, where most of the homes for sale have already come down from their first price.

Buyers did close 48 homes in the last three months, so they are here at the prices they can afford.

About Watters International Realty in Cedar Creek

Watters International Realty is a Texas real estate brokerage, and I am its broker of record. This page is based on Unlock MLS data analyzed on October 16, 2026. 53 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Cedar Creek (Unlock MLS, all time). Primary records used: Unlock MLS (ACTRIS) listing and closing records via MLS Grid for Residential properties in the MLS city of Cedar Creek and its ZIP code, 78612; the Bastrop Central Appraisal District holds the record for any specific parcel. Known unknowns: WIR’s New Construction Inventory sheet carried no rows for Cedar Creek builders or communities when it was read, so this page publishes no builder price range, incentive or rate; Cedar Creek has no neighborhood pages yet; and the MLS does not record why an individual listing failed to sell.

See the homes you’d be competing against

You get the competing listings near you, what recent Cedar Creek sales show, and a walkthrough before any pricing talk.

Step 1 of 4

No obligation. The report arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome.

More for Cedar Creek sellers

Chris Watters, Broker, Watters International Realty. Texas Real Estate Commission license #567369. Broker of record for a Texas brokerage serving the Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Antonio and Killeen-Temple-Waco metros.