Liberty Hill, TX housing market: what is happening to home prices this year?
Quick answer
Flat on the typical sale, and lower by the square foot. The typical Liberty Hill home sold for $500,000 over the past twelve months, the same as the year before. Liberty Hill is a buyer’s market as a whole, and your price range can put you in a different one.
What we analyzed
- 273 homes sold in Liberty Hill in the 90 days ending October 6, 2026
- 469 homes for sale in Liberty Hill as of October 7, 2026, 275 of them builder listings
- 5.2 months of inventory in Liberty Hill, against 5.7 in the Austin metro
- Liberty Hill closings for the twelve months ending October 6, 2026, against the twelve months before
- Builder and resale listings in Liberty Hill as of October 7, 2026
Sources: Unlock MLS, pulled October 7, 2026.
Selling above $1M? Part of this market never goes online
The figures on this page describe the public side of this market, the sales that were listed in the MLS. Above $1M in the Austin area, a large share of sales are never listed there and never appear online.
Those sales trade on a broker-to-broker private network, and I am a participating broker. Only the agents and brokers who do most of the business at this price point use it, and a surprising number of agents do not know it exists because they do not sell in this range. It covers homes, lots, ranches and condos priced over $1M, and much of it is waterfront or in the Austin core, West Austin, Westlake and Rollingwood, where prices run past $1.5M.
Sellers and their brokers use it for privacy: no public photos or floor plans, and no showings to buyers who have not been qualified.
Contact me for off-market private luxury listings you will never see online
54 Liberty Hill homeowners have trusted my real estate team to sell their home in the MLS, and that count doesn’t include a single buyer we’ve represented. Everything on this page comes from the same MLS record we used to price those homes.
Every number on this page is also broken out in the tables on the 78642 housing market report.
Last updated October 7, 2026. Sales data covers the 90 days ending October 6, 2026 and the twelve months ending the same day (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid); listing inventory as of October 7, 2026.
What kind of market is Liberty Hill for a homeowner thinking of selling?
Buyers have the edge across town. Liberty Hill homes closed at 92.0% of original asking over the last three months, which means the usual seller came down before signing. Your own price range may tell a different story than that town-wide reading.
On paper supply is not heavy here: at today’s pace of sales, the shelf would empty in a little over five months, a touch quicker than the Austin metro. Even so, 66.3% of current listings carry a price cut. The gap comes from builders, who carry most of the inventory and trim prices to keep it moving. The chart below sets the months of supply beside Austin’s.
Are Liberty Hill home prices lower than a year ago?
The middle sale has not moved. Half of Liberty Hill’s closings over the past twelve months came in above $500,000 and half below, exactly where the prior twelve months landed.
Measured by size, though, the drift is downward. Buyers paid $195 a square foot this year where they paid $201 last year, so the same house buys for a bit less.
Demand is the part that grew. Closings in Liberty Hill reached 1,083 this past year, up from 947. More buyers are coming out of the woodwork, and prices are still going down.
The most recent quarter held that lead, with 273 closings against 226 a year earlier.
How much of Liberty Hill is new construction?
Most of it. New construction makes up 58.6% of current Liberty Hill listings, and new houses also made up most of what closed lately.
Perry Homes has the most listings, with Coventry Homes, Highland Homes, Chesmar and Pulte Homes behind it, spread across Santa Rita Ranch, Lariat, Butler Farms and a dozen smaller sections. Which builder sits at which price is laid out on What is your Liberty Hill home competing against on a buyer’s tour?
Does the 78642 ZIP code tell a different story?
No. The ZIP and the town hold almost exactly the same homes, so their closings, typical price and supply line up nearly to the listing. The ZIP’s numbers for each period and each price range sit on How is the 78642 housing market doing for Liberty Hill sellers?
What are the biggest risks for a Liberty Hill seller right now?
The first is pricing above $400,000 without looking at the builder down the road. Nearly every busy range from there upward closed as a buyer’s market over the last three months, and builders list most of the homes in those ranges. How a resale prices against those spec homes is covered on What is your Liberty Hill home worth when builders are listing down the road?
The second is time. The typical home here took 78 days to go under contract, and homes that opened above the market spent the longest waiting. The habits of the listings that sold fast are on Why aren’t homes selling in Liberty Hill? What the quick sales did differently
The third is holding out for last year’s price per square foot. No sign of a rebound yet; the timing call for your own house is on Should you sell your Liberty Hill home now, or wait for a better market?
Does this market report apply to your home?
It describes Liberty Hill in total, and your house is one sale inside it. How closely it fits depends on a few things. Run your address and we will pull the listings your buyer would compare it with.
- Less so in the $300,000s. Those two ranges closed as balanced markets.
- Quite well above $400,000, the stretch where buyers kept control.
- It fits closely if you live in or near Santa Rita Ranch or Lariat, where a builder listing is rarely far away.
- Less so for a house that shows well on day one and opens at a price drawn from 2026 closings.
Your situation
Liberty Hill buyers are more numerous than last year, and they pay what they did for the middle home and slightly less by the foot. Most of what they tour is new, and most of the listings have already come down once.
That narrows your decision to one test: when a buyer lines up the homes at your opening price, does yours come out on top?
Before You Put Your Home on the Market, See the Homes You’ll Have to Beat
If you are unsure how your home fits in a town where builders hold most of the listings, start with the homes a buyer would tour beside it. Request my complimentary Home Competitor Analysis for your address. You get:
- The homes for sale near you that a buyer would likely tour alongside yours
- How recent sales in your part of Liberty Hill compare with the town as a whole
- How the walkthrough works and what we look at in your home
No obligation. The report for your part of Liberty Hill arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome. 54 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Liberty Hill (Unlock MLS, all time).
Why are so many Liberty Hill buyers waiting?
Chris Watters’s position, stated September 9, 2026. Watters International Realty does not forecast prices; the figures on this page are one period’s measurements.
There is pent-up demand in the market. Tons of buyers on the sidelines not purchasing. This is because there is a lack of alignment between the sellers’ personal wants and what a buyer can afford. Affordability has been severely impacted because of interest rates. Interest rates and home prices move in opposite directions in most instances. However, unlike Wall Street, the market is not that fluid. But in reality, it should be.
Liberty Hill shows both halves of that. Closings rose over the past year while price per square foot slipped, and the sellers who met buyers where they were are the ones who closed.
About Watters International Realty in Liberty Hill
Watters International Realty is a Texas real estate brokerage, and I am its broker of record. This page is based on Unlock MLS data analyzed on October 7, 2026: every Residential closing in the MLS city of Liberty Hill for the last three months and the last twelve months, the same three months a year earlier, the twelve months before that, and every listing for sale on the analysis date, with builder listings identified from the MLS construction fields. 54 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Liberty Hill (Unlock MLS, all time). What this page cannot tell you: what any builder will agree to on a specific home (the MLS does not carry it), the condition of any one home, and how your own street compares; there are no Liberty Hill neighborhood pages yet.
See the homes you’d be competing against
You get the competing listings near you, how your part of Liberty Hill compares with the town, and a walkthrough before any pricing talk.
Contact me for off-market private luxury listings you will never see online.
No obligation. The report arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome.
Neighborhoods in Liberty Hill
These pages show closed sales, homes for sale and price direction for one neighborhood at a time.
More for Liberty Hill sellers
- 78642 housing market report: the numbers behind the Liberty Hill market
- Should you sell your Liberty Hill home now, or wait?
- What is your Liberty Hill home competing against right now?
- Why aren’t homes selling in Liberty Hill?
- What is your Liberty Hill home worth next to a brand-new house?
- The Austin seller hub
