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78645 housing market report: Lago Vista, Jonestown and Point Venture by price range

Quick answer

In the three months ending October 15, 2026, the whole ZIP code closed homes at 93.6% of original asking, a buyer’s market for the ZIP overall. The town of Lago Vista closed at 94.4%, which reads balanced for the town overall. The ZIP also holds Jonestown and Point Venture, and a price point changes which market a home is in.

What we analyzed

Sources: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.

Selling above $1M? Part of this market never goes online

The figures on this page describe the public side of this market, the sales that were listed in the MLS. Above $1M in the Austin area, a large share of sales are never listed there and never appear online.

Those sales trade on a broker-to-broker private network, and I am a participating broker. Only the agents and brokers who do most of the business at this price point use it, and a surprising number of agents do not know it exists because they do not sell in this range. It covers homes, lots, ranches and condos priced over $1M, and much of it is waterfront or in the Austin core, West Austin, Westlake and Rollingwood, where prices run past $1.5M.

Sellers and their brokers use it for privacy: no public photos or floor plans, and no showings to buyers who have not been qualified.

Contact me for off-market private luxury listings you will never see online

Step 1 of 4

97 Lago Vista homeowners have trusted my real estate team to sell their home in the MLS, and that count doesn’t include a single buyer we’ve represented. Everything on this page comes from the same MLS record we used to price those homes.

Already have a rough idea of your price range? Skip down to see whether these numbers fit your home, or plug in your address for a closer look.

What these numbers mean if you are selling is on Is Lago Vista a buyer's market or a balanced one for sellers?

Last updated October 16, 2026. Sales data covers the 90 days ending October 15, 2026 and the twelve months ending the same day (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid); listing inventory as of October 16, 2026.

How do the Lago Vista figures sit next to the Austin metro’s?

Table 1 covers the town, meaning the MLS cities of Lago Vista and Volente, and sets it beside the metro measure by measure. It is not the whole ZIP; that comes next. The chart below it shows months of inventory for the town, the ZIP and the metro.

Table 1. Lago Vista compared with the Austin metro. Sales are from the 90 days ending October 15, 2026; homes for sale are as of October 16, 2026. “Failed to sell” means the listing expired or was withdrawn without selling. Source: Unlock MLS.

MeasureLago VistaAustin metro
Homes sold618,186
Median sale price$405,000$405,000
Median days on market75 days56 days
What homes sold for relative to their initial asking price94.4%94.3%
Price per square foot (median)$219$204
Homes for sale21316,289
Months of supply10.56.0
Buyer’s or seller’s marketbalancedbalanced
Listings that failed to sell815,425
Share of listings that failed to sell57.0%39.9%
Active under contract211,416
Pending132,034
New listings in the last 90 days12112,212
Homes for sale priced below their original asking price130 (61.0%)58.9%

Sales, the homes under contract and pending, and months of inventory bear on whether to list now, a question worked through in Should you sell your Lago Vista home now, or wait?

For the median sale price, price per square foot and the share of original asking buyers paid, see Selling in Lago Vista? What buyers are paying per square foot now.

Speed, and the listings that failed to sell, are the subject of How to tell a price problem from a market problem on a Lago Vista listing.

Homes for sale, price cuts and new listings make up the competition covered by Selling near Tessera or The Hollows? Which homes compete with yours. The town’s whole story is told in Is Lago Vista a buyer’s market or a balanced one for sellers?

Sale price as a share of original asking in Lago Vista, its ZIP codes and the Austin metro Median home sold, 90 days ending October 15, 2026, as a share of original asking price. Lago Vista (city) 94.4% 78645 93.6% Austin metro 94.3% Source: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.
Figure 1. Sale price as a share of original asking price, 90 days ending October 15, 2026: Lago Vista (city) 94.4%; 78645 93.6%; Austin metro 94.3%. The share a home closes at, against its original asking price, decides whether a market reads as buyer’s, balanced or seller’s; a different price point changes which market a home is in. Source: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.

Does the whole 78645 ZIP read differently from the town?

The ZIP is the larger and looser footprint. 78645 includes Jonestown and Point Venture, so Table 2 counts more homes for sale than the town does. It reads as a buyer’s market for the ZIP overall, and a price point changes which market a home is in.

Table 2. Lago Vista by ZIP code, covering the whole ZIP, 90 days ending October 15, 2026. Your price range can put you in a different market than the ZIP as a whole. Source: Unlock MLS.

ZIPSoldMedian sale priceMedian days on marketShare of original asking priceFor saleMonths of supplyMarketHomes that cut their priceNew builds for sale
7864591$405,00083 days93.6%30610.1buyer’s market179 (58.5%)49 of 306

Builders hold 16.0% of the homes for sale in the ZIP, against 15.5% in the town. The names and the communities are on Selling near Tessera or The Hollows? Which homes compete with yours.

Are Lago Vista prices lower than a year ago?

The answer is yes for the typical home on the twelve-month figures: the median sale price was $432,000 in the twelve months before and $420,000 over the past twelve months. Table 3 gives the four periods their own rows, and the twelve-month rows rest on far more sales.

Table 3. Lago Vista sales in each period. Each row stands on its own. Source: Unlock MLS.

PeriodSoldMedian sale priceMedian days on marketShare of original asking pricePrice per square foot
90 days ending October 15, 202661$405,00075 days94.4%$219
Same 90 days, 2025 (July 18, 2025 to October 15, 2025)88$412,50094 days88.8%$214
Twelve months ending October 15, 2026326$420,00086 days93.8%$210
Prior twelve months (October 16, 2024 to October 15, 2025)301$432,00090 days93.2%$219

The ZIP’s own twelve-month reading is a buyer’s market at 8.2 months of inventory, which is a reading for the ZIP overall, and a price point changes which market a home is in. The wider story is on Is Lago Vista a buyer’s market or a balanced one for sellers?

How do Lago Vista, Jonestown and Point Venture compare?

Table 4 sets Lago Vista beside Jonestown and Point Venture, the two other towns in the ZIP, and beside Leander, Lakeway and Spicewood. Only Point Venture carries more months of inventory than Lago Vista, and its few recent sales make that reading thin. Leander and Lakeway have the same months of inventory and read differently, Leander balanced and Lakeway a buyer’s market, because the reading comes from what buyers paid against original asking. Each reading is for that town overall, and a price point changes which market a home is in.

Table 4. Nearby towns, 90 days ending October 15, 2026. Source: Unlock MLS.

TownSoldMedian sale priceMedian days on marketShare of original asking priceFor saleMonths of supplyMarket
Lago Vista61$405,00075 days94.4%21310.5balanced
Jonestown25$407,50087 days92.5%738.8buyer’s market
Point Venture7$339,915236 days82.6%3213.7buyer’s market
Leander338$461,59550 days94.8%6155.5balanced
Lakeway66$707,47558 days93.8%1225.5buyer’s market
Spicewood73$635,000104 days90.2%2249.2buyer’s market

Which market is my price range in?

Table 5 sorts the town by price. Each range is read by what homes in it closed at against their original asking price, and the reading belongs to that range alone. A range needs at least 10 sales in the last 90 days to appear, and in Lago Vista only one does.

Table 5. Lago Vista homes by price range. Sales are from the 90 days ending October 15, 2026; homes for sale are as of October 16, 2026. A range is a seller’s market when homes sell for at least 97% of their original asking price, balanced from 94% to 97%, and a buyer’s market below 94%. Each reading is for that price range only; a different price point changes which market a home is in. Only price ranges with at least 10 sales in the last 90 days are shown. Source: Unlock MLS.

Price rangeSoldMedian sale priceFor saleNew builds for saleHomes that cut their priceMonths of supplyMarket
$350,000 to $399,99910$382,500191115.7seller’s market

On the twelve-month basis the $300,000 to $349,999 range reads balanced for that range.

The $350,000 to $399,999 range reads as a seller’s market for that range, and the $400,000 to $449,999 range as a buyer’s market for that range.

Choosing between listing now and waiting, range by range, is worked through on Should you sell your Lago Vista home now, or wait?

Each time the pages are refreshed, these tables are rebuilt from a fresh MLS pull, and its date is in the last-updated line above them.

Which column describes your home, the town or the ZIP?

Everything above describes a town and a ZIP, and your home is a single sale inside them. Run your address and we pull the rows closest to your house.

Your situation

A scoreboard tells you how a town and a ZIP are doing in total, and it cannot tell you which listings a buyer would see after yours.

For your home, then: which of these rows is the one your price and your street belong in?

Before You Put Your Home on the Market, See the Homes You’ll Have to Beat

If you cannot tell which of these rows is yours, start with the homes a buyer would weigh against your house. Request my complimentary Home Competitor Analysis for your address. You get:

Step 1 of 4

No obligation. The report for your part of Lago Vista arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome. 97 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Lago Vista (Unlock MLS, all time).

Why do I watch months of supply?

Chris’s position, WIR positions library, approved September 9, 2026.

Months of supply is the number I watch. It means: if no more homes came on the market, how long would it take to sell everything listed at the pace homes are selling now.

In Lago Vista that figure is 10.5 months, against 6.0 for the Austin metro. Read it beside what buyers paid against the first asking price, because that is what decides which market you are in.

About Watters International Realty in Lago Vista

Watters International Realty is a Texas real estate brokerage, and I am its broker of record. This page is based on Unlock MLS data analyzed on October 16, 2026. 97 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Lago Vista (Unlock MLS, all time).

See the homes you’d be competing against

You get the competing listings near you, how your part of Lago Vista compares with the town and the ZIP, and a walkthrough before any pricing talk.

Contact me for off-market private luxury listings you will never see online.

Step 1 of 4

No obligation. The report arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome.

More for Lago Vista sellers

Chris Watters, Broker, Watters International Realty. Texas Real Estate Commission license #567369. Broker of record for a Texas brokerage serving the Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Antonio and Killeen-Temple-Waco metros.