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How does 78652 differ from Manchaca itself, and which one is your market?

Quick answer

New builds were 53.8% of the closings in Manchaca’s ZIP code in the three months ending October 15, 2026, against none of the town’s. In my read, the ZIP is a wider area than the town, so a home listed under the Manchaca city name belongs with the town column, and a home elsewhere in the ZIP belongs with the ZIP column.

What we analyzed

Sources: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.

11 Manchaca homeowners have trusted my real estate team to sell their home, and that count doesn’t include a single buyer we’ve represented. Everything on this page comes from the same MLS record we used to price those homes.

Already have a rough idea of your price range? Skip down to see whether these numbers fit your home, or plug in your address for a closer look.

What these numbers mean if you are selling is on Selling in Manchaca? How a town of resales reads beside its ZIP's new builds.

Last updated October 16, 2026. Sales data covers the 90 days ending October 15, 2026 and the twelve months ending the same day (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid); listing inventory as of October 16, 2026.

How does Manchaca compare with the Austin metro?

Homes in Manchaca closed at 92.4% of original asking, against 94.3% for the Austin metro.

Months of inventory run 7.8 in Manchaca and 6.0 across the metro.

Table 1. Manchaca compared with the Austin metro. Sales are from the 90 days ending October 15, 2026; homes for sale are as of October 16, 2026. “Failed to sell” means the listing expired or was withdrawn without selling. Source: Unlock MLS.

MeasureManchacaAustin metro
Homes sold128,186
Median sale price$422,500$405,000
Median days on market26 days56 days
What homes sold for relative to their initial asking price92.4%94.3%
Price per square foot (median)$202$204
Homes for sale3116,289
Months of supply7.86.0
Buyer’s or seller’s marketbuyer’s marketbalanced
Listings that failed to sell75,425
Share of listings that failed to sell36.8%39.9%
Active under contract31,416
Pending12,034
New listings in the last 90 days2812,212
Homes for sale priced below their original asking price21 (67.7%)58.9%

Closed sales, months of supply and the homes under contract feed the timing question on Should you sell your Manchaca home now, or wait? This season read the same last year

The sale price, price per square foot and the share of original asking that buyers paid are read against last year on Why does the Manchaca median say so little about what your home is worth?

Days to contract and the listings that failed to sell are explained on Why do Manchaca homes go under contract within a month or after three?

Homes for sale, price cuts and new listings are the competition, on Do builders elsewhere in 78652 still compete with your Manchaca home? The whole Manchaca story is on Selling in Manchaca? How a town of resales reads beside its ZIP’s new builds

Sale price as a share of original asking in Manchaca, its ZIP codes and the Austin metro Median home sold, 90 days ending October 15, 2026, as a share of original asking price. Manchaca (city) 92.4% 78652 93.1% Austin metro 94.3% Source: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.
Figure 1. Sale price as a share of original asking price, 90 days ending October 15, 2026: Manchaca (city) 92.4%; 78652 93.1%; Austin metro 94.3%. The share a home closes at, against its original asking price, decides whether a market reads as buyer’s, balanced or seller’s; a different price point changes which market a home is in. Source: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.

Is 78652 any different from Manchaca as a whole?

Table 2 gives the ZIP’s row for the same three months, and builders list in the ZIP and not in the town.

Table 2. Manchaca by ZIP code, covering the whole ZIP, 90 days ending October 15, 2026. Your price range can put you in a different market than the ZIP as a whole. Source: Unlock MLS.

ZIPSoldMedian sale priceMedian days on marketShare of original asking priceFor saleMonths of supplyMarketHomes that cut their priceNew builds for sale
7865226$410,00046 days93.1%424.8buyer’s market31 (73.8%)9 of 42

The last column of that table counts builder listings among the homes for sale, and what it means for a Manchaca resale is on Do builders elsewhere in 78652 still compete with your Manchaca home?

How do the latest numbers compare with last year’s?

The table below gives the last three months, the same three months last year and the two twelve-month periods. The closing counts and what they mean are on Selling in Manchaca? How a town of resales reads beside its ZIP’s new builds The tables are rebuilt from a fresh MLS pull each time the pages are refreshed.

Table 3. Manchaca sales in each period. Each row stands on its own. Source: Unlock MLS.

PeriodSoldMedian sale priceMedian days on marketShare of original asking pricePrice per square foot
90 days ending October 15, 202612$422,50026 days92.4%$202
Same 90 days, 2025 (July 18, 2025 to October 15, 2025)21$445,00037 days92.2%$210
Twelve months ending October 15, 202656$480,00039 days96.4%$238
Prior twelve months (October 16, 2024 to October 15, 2025)53$470,00042 days93.7%$219

How does Manchaca compare with Buda, Dripping Springs and Kyle?

Dripping Springs reads as a buyer’s market for the town overall, as Manchaca does, while Buda and Kyle read balanced. Each reading is for that town as a whole, and a price point changes which market a home is in. Table 4 lists all four over the same three months.

Table 4. Nearby towns, 90 days ending October 15, 2026. Source: Unlock MLS.

TownSoldMedian sale priceMedian days on marketShare of original asking priceFor saleMonths of supplyMarket
Manchaca12$422,50026 days92.4%317.8buyer’s market
Buda248$349,99053 days95.7%4525.5balanced
Dripping Springs153$630,00062 days93.8%2895.7buyer’s market
Kyle338$309,99568 days94.8%5454.8balanced

What do the price ranges show in Manchaca?

No Manchaca price range reached 10 sales in the last three months, so none is tabled, and I read each range on the twelve-month basis instead.

Each reading is for that range only, and a price point changes which market a home is in. On twelve months, most ranges with enough sales read balanced, one reads as a buyer’s market and one as a seller’s market, and the exact ranges are in the list below.

Do these numbers describe your home?

They describe the town and its ZIP code, and your home is one sale inside them. Run your address to see which column a buyer would compare you with.

Your situation

These tables show how the town and its ZIP code are doing overall. They cannot show whether a buyer in Ashbrook or Bear Creek Crossing would put your house first on the list.

Which column a buyer holds beside your house depends on your street and your price, and the walkthrough is where that gets settled.

Before You Put Your Home on the Market, See the Homes You’ll Have to Beat

If you are not sure which of these numbers applies to your house, start with the homes a buyer would weigh against it. Request my complimentary Home Competitor Analysis for your address. You get:

Step 1 of 4

No obligation. The report for your part of Manchaca arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome. 11 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Manchaca (Unlock MLS, all time).

Why do I watch months of supply?

Chris’s position, WIR positions library, approved September 9, 2026.

Months of supply is the number I watch. It means: if no more homes came on the market, how long would it take to sell everything listed at the pace homes are selling now.

I read that number beside the share of original asking that buyers paid, since that share is what sets the reading.

About Watters International Realty in Manchaca

Watters International Realty is a Texas real estate brokerage, and I am its broker of record. This page is based on Unlock MLS data analyzed on October 16, 2026. 11 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Manchaca (Unlock MLS, all time).

See the homes you’d be competing against

You get the competing listings near you, how your part of Manchaca compares with the town, and a walkthrough before any pricing talk.

Step 1 of 4

No obligation. The report arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome.

More for Manchaca sellers

Chris Watters, Broker, Watters International Realty. Texas Real Estate Commission license #567369. Broker of record for a Texas brokerage serving the Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Antonio and Killeen-Temple-Waco metros.