The typical Manchaca home that closed in the three months ending October 15, 2026 reached a contract in 26 days. In my read the first price is what separates it from the slowest sales, which took more than three months. The MLS does not record why a listing fails, so that is a reading and not a record.
Sources: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.
11 Manchaca homeowners have trusted my real estate team to sell their home, and that count doesn’t include a single buyer we’ve represented. Everything on this page comes from the same MLS record we used to price those homes.
What these numbers mean if you are selling is on Selling in Manchaca? How a town of resales reads beside its ZIP's new builds, and every number on this page is also broken out in the tables on How does 78652 differ from Manchaca itself, and which one is your market?
Last updated October 16, 2026. Sales data covers the 90 days ending October 15, 2026 and the twelve months ending the same day (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid); listing inventory as of October 16, 2026.
A smaller share of Manchaca listings failed to sell than in the Austin metro. Failed to sell means the listing expired or was withdrawn without a sale, counted against every listing that reached an outcome either way in the last three months. That share was 36.8% in Manchaca and the Austin metro’s was 39.9%.
The 12 homes that closed and the 7 listings that failed to sell make up that share. The MLS does not record why any one listing failed, so what follows is my read. The chart below shows how long the 12 took to reach a contract.
Manchaca sales split into a fast group and a slow one. Within a month, 6 homes reached a contract, and 4 took more than three months, with 2 in the second month and none in the third, as the table below shows.
Table 1. How long the 12 homes that sold in Manchaca took to go under contract, cumulative days on market to contract, 90 days ending October 15, 2026. Source: Unlock MLS.
| Days on market | Homes sold |
|---|---|
| 30 days or less | 6 |
| 31 to 60 days | 2 |
| 61 to 90 days | 0 |
| More than 90 days | 4 |
The typical home took 26 days, against 56 for the typical home across the Austin metro. Twelve closings is a small base, so one or two sales can move that median, and the gap between the groups tells you more than the middle does.
In my read, the opening price is what puts a listing in one group or the other, since it is the one input the seller sets alone.
In the last three months, 28 new listings came on the market while 12 homes closed. A new listing in Manchaca therefore opens beside several others a buyer can pick from.
Few closed at their first price. Only 2 closed at or above original asking, and every other sale came in under it. In my read, a seller who plans on a full-price close is planning on the smaller group.
What buyers paid for those homes, in dollars and per square foot, is on Why does the Manchaca median say so little about what your home is worth? and the cut listings still on the market are on Do builders elsewhere in 78652 still compete with your Manchaca home?
Start with the price. In the $500,000 to $549,999 range, which reads as a buyer’s market for that range on twelve months, the first price carries the most weight, and in my read the homes that reached a contract within a month were the ones priced where buyers were already paying.
Then look at the promotion. New listings keep arriving in Manchaca, so in my read a buyer who gets a slow reply on your listing has another house to look at the same day.
Last, look at the house itself. In my read, a buyer comparing a house in Ashbrook or Bear Creek Crossing with its neighbors is weighing condition as well as price.
The typical Manchaca home for sale has been listed 55 days so far. That is a count of days still running, a different measure from the days to contract above, so I do not set the two side by side. Which listings have cut and by how much is on Do builders elsewhere in 78652 still compete with your Manchaca home?
Whether that should change when you list is on Should you sell your Manchaca home now, or wait? This season read the same last year and every exact figure is in the tables on How does 78652 differ from Manchaca itself, and which one is your market?
A few things raise or lower the odds, and you can check most of them yourself. If that is you, the fastest way to know is to run your address.
What a buyer would pay for your home is on Why does the Manchaca median say so little about what your home is worth?
Ashbrook, Bear Creek Crossing and Hills of Bear Creek have few recent sales each, so in my read your first price has to carry most of the argument with a buyer.
For your home, then: at the price you would start at, with the marketing it would get, would a buyer pick yours over the other Manchaca listings in view?
If you worry your listing would be one of the ones that waits, start by seeing what it would be measured against. Request my complimentary Home Competitor Analysis for your address. You get:
No obligation. The report for your part of Manchaca arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome. 11 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Manchaca (Unlock MLS, all time).
Chris’s position, WIR positions library, approved September 9, 2026.
A home that does not sell has a price problem, a promotion problem, or a product problem, and usually the seller was told it was the market. It was not the market. Plenty of homes are marketed badly, by agents who have no system for following up and no system for responding the minute a buyer raises a hand.
Watters International Realty is a Texas real estate brokerage, and I am its broker of record. This page is based on Unlock MLS data analyzed on October 16, 2026. 11 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Manchaca (Unlock MLS, all time).
You get the competing listings near you, how quickly homes like yours have sold, and a walkthrough before any pricing talk.
No obligation. The report arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome.
