How tight is the 78644 market compared with Kyle, Bastrop and San Marcos?

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What these numbers mean if you are selling is on Do Lockhart prices say more about Summerside than about your house?

Last updated October 16, 2026. Sales data covers the 90 days ending October 15, 2026 and the twelve months ending the same day (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid); listing inventory as of October 16, 2026.

How does Lockhart compare with the Austin metro?

Lockhart costs less per square foot than the metro and runs a little tighter on inventory. Table 1 sets the town beside the metro measure by measure, and the chart below shows months of inventory.

Table 1. Lockhart compared with the Austin metro. Sales are from the 90 days ending October 15, 2026; homes for sale are as of October 16, 2026. “Failed to sell” means the listing expired or was withdrawn without selling. Source: Unlock MLS.

Sales, the pipeline of homes under contract or pending, and months of inventory all bear on the timing question taken up on How do you time a Lockhart sale when most listings have cut their price?

What buyers paid, in dollars, per square foot and against the first asking price, is read for your kind of home on Is your Lockhart resale worth more per square foot than a new build?

How long homes take to reach a contract, and the listings that failed to sell, are explained on Why do some Lockhart homes sell in weeks while others wait months?

The homes for sale, the price cuts and the new listings make up the competition described on How can a Lockhart resale compete when Perry Homes and Lennar are listing?

The town report that ties these measures together is Do Lockhart prices say more about Summerside than about your house?

Is 78644 any different from Lockhart as a whole?

78644 is the only ZIP code in this analysis, so Table 2 has one row, and it matches Table 1.

Table 2. Lockhart by ZIP code, covering the whole ZIP, 90 days ending October 15, 2026. Your price range can put you in a different market than the ZIP as a whole. Source: Unlock MLS.

Builders hold 32.1% of the homes for sale in 78644, and which builders list where is on How can a Lockhart resale compete when Perry Homes and Lennar are listing?

How do the latest twelve months compare with the twelve before?

Table 3 gives each twelve-month period its own row, so the latest year can be read beside the one before it.

Table 3. Lockhart sales in each period. Each row stands on its own. Source: Unlock MLS.

Price per square foot over those periods is read for your kind of home on Is your Lockhart resale worth more per square foot than a new build?

How does Lockhart compare with Kyle, Bastrop and San Marcos?

Lockhart is the second tightest of the four towns on months of inventory and the lowest on what buyers paid against the first asking price. Its share sits just under San Marcos’s.

Kyle and Bastrop read as balanced and San Marcos reads as a buyer’s market, and each reading is for that town overall, since a price point changes which market a home is in.

Table 4. Nearby towns, 90 days ending October 15, 2026. Source: Unlock MLS.

In my read the pairing matters. Lockhart’s supply sits closer to Kyle’s than to San Marcos’s, yet its buyers paid a share of the first price close to San Marcos’s, which is why supply alone would mislead a seller here.

Which market is my price range in?

Each range in the table gets its own reading from what homes in it closed at against their original asking price, and the reading applies to that range as a whole. Only ranges with at least 10 sales in the last 90 days appear.

Table 5. Lockhart homes by price range. Sales are from the 90 days ending October 15, 2026; homes for sale are as of October 16, 2026. A range is a seller’s market when homes sell for at least 97% of their original asking price, balanced from 94% to 97%, and a buyer’s market below 94%. Each reading is for that price range only; a different price point changes which market a home is in. Only price ranges with at least 10 sales in the last 90 days are shown. Source: Unlock MLS.

The shares of original asking that decide those readings are:

• The $200,000 to $249,999 range closed at 93.6%, a buyer’s market for that range.
• The $250,000 to $299,999 range closed at 92.8%, also a buyer’s market for that range.
• The $300,000 to $349,999 range closed at 94.6%, balanced for that range.
• The $450,000 to $499,999 range closed at 87.4%, a buyer’s market for that range.

The $350,000 to $399,999 and $400,000 to $449,999 ranges are left out of the table because too few homes sold in them in the last three months. On the twelve-month basis each reads as a buyer’s market for that range.

How to choose between listing now and waiting, range by range, is on How do you time a Lockhart sale when most listings have cut their price?

Each time the pages are refreshed, this one is rebuilt from a fresh MLS pull, and the pull date sits in the last-updated line near the top.

Do these numbers describe your home?

These tables describe the town and its ZIP code. Run your address to see which part of 78644 a buyer would compare you with.

• They match your home most closely from $200,000 to $249,999 or from $250,000 to $299,999, because each of those ranges reads as a buyer’s market, as the town does.
• The $450,000 to $499,999 range also reads as a buyer’s market, so the town reading holds there too.
• They match less well from $300,000 to $349,999, which reads balanced while the town reads as a buyer’s market.
• From $350,000 to $399,999 and from $400,000 to $449,999 recent sales are few, so I read both on the twelve-month basis, where each is a buyer’s market.
• They match less well if a builder community such as Summerside or Juniper Springs is down the road.

Your situation

Every table here measures the whole town or the whole ZIP code, and Summerside or Juniper Springs may sit between you and those averages. A buyer shops one house against another, which the tables cannot do for yours.

So the thing to settle for your house is which homes a buyer would put beside it, and whether your price holds up in that company.

Why is months of supply the number I watch?

Chris’s position, WIR positions library, approved September 9, 2026.

Months of supply is the number I watch. It means: if no more homes came on the market, how long would it take to sell everything listed at the pace homes are selling now.

In Lockhart the figure is 5.6 months, against 6.0 for the Austin metro. I read it beside what buyers paid against the first asking price, because that share sets the reading.

About Watters International Realty in Lockhart

Watters International Realty is a Texas real estate brokerage, and I am its broker of record. This page is based on Unlock MLS data analyzed on October 16, 2026. 44 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Lockhart (Unlock MLS, all time).

More for Lockhart sellers

• Do Lockhart prices say more about Summerside than about your house?
• How do you time a Lockhart sale when most listings have cut their price?
• How can a Lockhart resale compete when Perry Homes and Lennar are listing?
• Why do some Lockhart homes sell in weeks while others wait months?
• Is your Lockhart resale worth more per square foot than a new build?
• The Austin seller hub