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Has waiting for last year’s price helped Smithville sellers?

Quick answer

Waiting for last year’s price has not helped Smithville sellers: price per square foot was $197 in the twelve months ending October 15, 2026, against $215 in the twelve months before. In my read, list when your price matches recent closings, since waiting for last year’s number is the one plan that record does not support. The town is a buyer’s market overall, two price ranges read balanced on twelve months, and a price point changes which market a home is in.

What we analyzed

Sources: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.

29 Smithville homeowners have trusted my real estate team to sell their home, and that count doesn’t include a single buyer we’ve represented. Everything on this page comes from the same MLS record we used to price those homes.

Already have a rough idea of your price range? Skip down to see whether these numbers fit your home, or plug in your address for a closer look.

What these numbers mean if you are selling is on Selling in Smithville, TX? What older homes in Burleson and Byrne sold for, and every number on this page is also broken out in the tables on How does the 78957 housing market compare with Bastrop, La Grange and Paige?

Last updated October 16, 2026. Sales data covers the 90 days ending October 15, 2026 and the twelve months ending the same day (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid); listing inventory as of October 16, 2026.

Has waiting paid off for Smithville sellers?

A seller in Burleson, Smithville Townsite or Byrne faces the same town-wide record as anyone else: most of the homes that sold across the town closed below their original asking price. What that does to a number is on What will a Smithville buyer pay for your home, and what can an appraisal miss?

The chart below compares the last three months with the same three months a year earlier.

Smithville: the 90 days ending October 15, 2026 against the same 90 days in 2025 Homes sold, median sale price, and median cumulative days on market to contract. Homes sold 32 2026 18 2025 Median sale price $296,750 2026 $312,500 2025 Median days on market 82 2026 79 2025 90 days ending October 15, 2026 Same 90 days, 2025 Source: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.
Figure 1. Smithville sold more homes at a lower median in more days than in the same 90 days of 2025: homes sold 32 and 18; median sale price $296,750 and $312,500; median days on market 82 and 79, for the 90 days ending October 15, 2026 and the same 90 days, 2025. Source: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.

Are Smithville buyers still buying?

Contracts are still being written. Right now 8 homes are active under contract and 4 are pending, so buyers have already chosen those houses. That is the part of the market a new listing has to compete with.

What those buyers are paying is the number a seller has to price around. How closings compare with a year ago is on Selling in Smithville, TX? What older homes in Burleson and Byrne sold for

What happens to Smithville sellers who start high?

In my read, most sellers who start high end up cutting. The share of homes for sale that have cut, and how long they have been listed, are on Is your Smithville listing stuck? How long homes here took to reach a contract

For timing, the point is that a first price built from last year’s number competes with listings that have already conceded once. In my read, the opening price matters more than any later one, because a cut arrives after the first buyers have seen the listing.

Does my price range change the answer?

Smithville overall is a buyer’s market, and that is the town as a whole; your range can put you somewhere else. No range had 10 sales in the last three months, so I read the ranges from the past twelve months and say so each time.

For homes in the $250,000 to $299,999 range, the twelve months read as a buyer’s market for that range.

The $300,000 to $349,999 range reads the same way, and the $350,000 to $399,999 range does too.

The $200,000 to $249,999 range reads balanced on twelve months from nine sales, even though 16.0 months of supply sits behind it. Where supply and the reading disagree, the reading wins, because it rests on what buyers actually paid against original asking and the supply count is only a pace.

The $400,000 to $449,999 range reads balanced too, also from nine sales. The ranges are laid out on How does the 78957 housing market compare with Bastrop, La Grange and Paige?

Is there a good reason to wait?

In my read, the one good reason to wait is a job to finish first, such as repairs a buyer’s inspector may find, because they come up in the contract either way.

Waiting to recover last year’s price is a different plan, and the sales record on the worth page does not back it. Whether a fix is worth it for your house is a walkthrough question, since it depends on what is wrong and what a buyer in your part of Smithville would do about it.

How do the other Smithville listings affect my timing?

Who else a buyer is weighing against yours, builder or resale, is on Which homes is a Smithville buyer comparing with yours, builders or resales?

Sell now, or wait? Which one fits your home?

The town reading and the reading for your price range do not always agree, so I sort a home by its range first. If that is you, the fastest way to know is to run your address.

What a buyer would pay for your home, and what an appraisal can miss, is on What will a Smithville buyer pay for your home, and what can an appraisal miss?

Your situation

Smithville has buyers, and in my read the sellers most likely to struggle are the ones anchored to a number from last year. In Burleson, Smithville Townsite or Byrne, a seller can check the recent closings by street before choosing a price.

For your home, the question is this: if you listed this month at the price you have in mind, would a buyer read it as in line with recent closings, or as a number from last year?

Before You Put Your Home on the Market, See the Homes You’ll Have to Beat

If you cannot tell whether to list this fall or hold off, start by checking your price against what has actually closed near you. Request my complimentary Home Competitor Analysis for your address. You get:

Step 1 of 4

No obligation. The report for your part of Smithville arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome. 29 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Smithville (Unlock MLS, all time).

About Watters International Realty in Smithville

Watters International Realty is a Texas real estate brokerage, and I am its broker of record. This page is based on Unlock MLS data analyzed on October 16, 2026. 29 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Smithville (Unlock MLS, all time).

See the homes you’d be competing against

You get the recent closings near you, how fast homes like yours have been selling, and a walkthrough before any pricing talk.

Step 1 of 4

No obligation. The report arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome.

More for Smithville sellers

Chris Watters, Broker, Watters International Realty. Texas Real Estate Commission license #567369. Broker of record for a Texas brokerage serving the Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Antonio and Killeen-Temple-Waco metros.