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What can a Dale seller learn from 78616 numbers when few homes close?

Quick answer

The ZIP code figures show what buyers paid and how deep the shelf is: 15.5 months of inventory, and closings at 96.0% of original asking in the three months ending October 15, 2026.

That reads balanced for the ZIP overall, like Dale itself, between Lockhart’s buyer’s market and Maxwell’s seller’s market, though your price point can put a home in a different market. In my read, Dale and Red Rock hold much deeper shelves of homes for sale than Lockhart and Maxwell do.

What we analyzed

Sources: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.

19 Dale homeowners have trusted my real estate team to sell their home, and that count doesn’t include a single buyer we’ve represented. Everything on this page comes from the same MLS record we used to price those homes.

Already have a rough idea of your price range? Skip down to see whether these numbers fit your home, or plug in your address for a closer look.

What these numbers mean if you are selling is on Selling in Dale, TX? What resales from Los Milagros to Forister Ranch face.

Last updated October 16, 2026. Sales data covers the 90 days ending October 15, 2026 and the twelve months ending the same day (Unlock MLS via MLS Grid); listing inventory as of October 16, 2026.

Where does Dale sit next to the Austin metro on each measure?

Table 1 lines Dale up with the Austin metro, measure by measure, and the chart under it shows how close homes closed to their original asking price. Los Milagros and Forister Ranch lead Dale’s subdivisions by closings over the twelve months.

Table 1. Dale compared with the Austin metro. Sales are from the 90 days ending October 15, 2026; homes for sale are as of October 16, 2026. “Failed to sell” means the listing expired or was withdrawn without selling. Source: Unlock MLS.

MeasureDaleAustin metro
Homes sold108,186
Median sale price$354,500$405,000
Median days on market111 days56 days
What homes sold for relative to their initial asking price94.7%94.3%
Price per square foot (median)$196$204
Homes for sale5516,289
Months of supply16.56.0
Buyer’s or seller’s marketbalancedbalanced
Listings that failed to sell325,425
Share of listings that failed to sell76.2%39.9%
Active under contract41,416
Pending42,034
New listings in the last 90 days4212,212
Homes for sale priced below their original asking price28 (50.9%)58.9%

The decision about when to list draws on closings, the pipeline and months of inventory, and it is worked through on When should a Dale seller list, with so few recent sales to go on?

What a typical home sold for, per square foot and in total, and how far buyers came off the first price, are covered on What is your Dale home worth when listings ask more than homes sell for?

The wait for a contract, and the listings that never closed, are explained on Why do Dale sellers rarely get their first price?

The competition, meaning homes for sale, price cuts and new listings, is on Which Dale homes compete with yours, and have they cut their price? The town story is on Selling in Dale, TX? What resales from Los Milagros to Forister Ranch face

Sale price as a share of original asking in Dale, its ZIP codes and the Austin metro Median home sold, 90 days ending October 15, 2026, as a share of original asking price. Dale (city) 94.7% 78616 96.0% Austin metro 94.3% Source: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.
Figure 1. Sale price as a share of original asking price, 90 days ending October 15, 2026: Dale (city) 94.7%; 78616 96.0%; Austin metro 94.3%. The share a home closes at, against its original asking price, decides whether a market reads as buyer’s, balanced or seller’s; a different price point changes which market a home is in. Source: Unlock MLS, pulled October 16, 2026.

Does 78616 read differently from the town?

Table 2 gives 78616 its own row. The ZIP counts every home inside it whatever the MLS city, so it picks up 11 closings where the town has 10.

Table 2. Dale by ZIP code, covering the whole ZIP, 90 days ending October 15, 2026. Your price range can put you in a different market than the ZIP as a whole. Source: Unlock MLS.

ZIPSoldMedian sale priceMedian days on marketShare of original asking priceFor saleMonths of supplyMarketHomes that cut their priceNew builds for sale
7861611$349,000115 days96.0%5715.5balanced28 (49.1%)9 of 57

Of the listings in 78616, 15.8% are builder homes. Who builds them, and where, is spelled out in the competition page above.

What do last year’s rows add?

Table 3 gives every period a row of its own: the latest three months, the same three months in 2025, the twelve months ending October 15, 2026 and the twelve months before them.

Table 3. Dale sales in each period. Each row stands on its own. Source: Unlock MLS.

PeriodSoldMedian sale priceMedian days on marketShare of original asking pricePrice per square foot
90 days ending October 15, 202610$354,500111 days94.7%$196
Same 90 days, 2025 (July 18, 2025 to October 15, 2025)10$322,800192 days91.7%$195
Twelve months ending October 15, 202649$320,000118 days90.9%$195
Prior twelve months (October 16, 2024 to October 15, 2025)35$325,000141 days91.2%$199

Price comparisons between these rows belong to What is your Dale home worth when listings ask more than homes sell for?

How does Dale stack up against Lockhart, Maxwell and Red Rock?

Dale and Red Rock carry the most months of inventory of the four, and Lockhart and Maxwell carry far fewer, as Table 4 shows. Lockhart closed below 94% of original asking and Maxwell above 97%, which makes them a buyer’s market and a seller’s market for those towns overall, while Dale closed at 94.7%. Inside any of the four towns, your price point can put a home in a different market.

Table 4. Nearby towns, 90 days ending October 15, 2026. Source: Unlock MLS.

TownSoldMedian sale priceMedian days on marketShare of original asking priceFor saleMonths of supplyMarket
Dale10$354,500111 days94.7%5516.5balanced
Lockhart72$316,95064 days91.7%1345.6buyer’s market
Maxwell48$249,90034 days98.1%1167.2seller’s market
Red Rock3n/an/an/a1616.0None

Red Rock’s row rests on 3 closings, so treat it lightly.

What does each Dale price range read as?

Ten sales is the bar for a three-month reading, and no Dale price range cleared it, so the ranges below come from the full twelve months instead. Each reading is for that range as a whole, and a home priced at a range edge can belong to the next one. The town reads as a buyer’s market on twelve months, so a range that reads differently stands out.

Buyer’s market on twelve months:

Seller’s market on twelve months:

Every other range had fewer than 5 sales over the twelve months and carries no reading. The sell-or-wait call, range by range, is on When should a Dale seller list, with so few recent sales to go on?

Every refresh is rebuilt from a fresh MLS pull, and you will find the pull date in the last-updated line.

Do these numbers describe your home?

The figures above cover the town and its ZIP, and your home is one sale among them. Running your address shows where in 78616 a buyer would place it.

Your situation

What you have read is a town and a ZIP with a thin quarter of sales behind it. The listings a buyer sees the afternoon yours is on the tour are a separate matter, in Forister Ranch or on a road outside any subdivision.

For your home, then, the open question is which few of those listings a buyer would put beside it.

Before You Put Your Home on the Market, See the Homes You’ll Have to Beat

If you are not sure which of these numbers applies to your house, start with the homes a buyer would weigh against it. Request my complimentary Home Competitor Analysis for your address. You get:

Step 1 of 4

No obligation. The report for your part of Dale arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome. 19 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Dale (Unlock MLS, all time).

Why do I watch months of supply?

Chris’s position, WIR positions library, approved September 9, 2026.

Months of supply is the number I watch. It means: if no more homes came on the market, how long would it take to sell everything listed at the pace homes are selling now.

Dale’s 16.5 months comes from 55 listings against 10 sales in the last three months. The shelf is deep next to a thin run of sales: the listings are the choices a buyer has, and the sales are what buyers paid.

About Watters International Realty in Dale

Watters International Realty is a Texas real estate brokerage, and I am its broker of record. This page is based on Unlock MLS data analyzed on October 16, 2026. 19 homes sold by Watters International Realty in Dale (Unlock MLS, all time).

See the homes you’d be competing against

You get the competing listings near you, how your part of Dale compares with the town, and a walkthrough before any pricing talk.

Step 1 of 4

No obligation. The report arrives within a minute; the pricing analysis comes after we walk the home. Nothing here promises a price, a timeline, or an outcome.

More for Dale sellers

Chris Watters, Broker, Watters International Realty. Texas Real Estate Commission license #567369. Broker of record for a Texas brokerage serving the Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Antonio and Killeen-Temple-Waco metros.